The Restaurant Ingredient Weather Report

Every month we process millions of restaurant purchases and read what kitchens actually paid their suppliers, delivery by delivery.

We price the same basket of twenty-two everyday ingredients in every market we cover, and report what it costs now against last month and against last year.

These are trade prices paid by real restaurants, not supermarket shelf prices. We track more than 40 countries and publish the four where the data is deepest.

0restaurant supplier prices analysed since 2023

Updated 6 August 2026 · next update 1 September 2026

The long-term weather report

How the price of the tracked basket has changed in each market, year on year. This is the number that tells you whether your ingredient cost has actually changed.

United Kingdom
Steady
+0.4%
vs July 2025

A year on, this basket costs about the same. The pressure is elsewhere.

Change since last month: -0.2%
Australia
Steady
+0.6%
vs July 2025

A year on, this basket costs about the same. The pressure is elsewhere.

Change since last month: no change
United Arab Emirates
Climbing
+11.7%
vs July 2025

Costs are well up on the year. Reforecast your food cost now, not next quarter.

Change since last month: no change
Saudi Arabia
Rising
+3.3%
vs July 2025

Costs have drifted up over the year. Check your highest-spend lines.

Change since last month: +0.2%

The monthly weather report

The fastest rising and fastest falling item from the basket in each market, so you can see short-term changes the yearly figure hides.

United Kingdom Basket: -0.2%
Rising fastest Cucumber +7.2%
Falling fastest Lettuce -2.6%
Australia Basket: no change
Rising fastest Eggs +3.1%
Falling fastest Potatoes -2.6%
United Arab Emirates Basket: no change
Rising fastest Beef +1.6%
Falling fastest Lemons -2.7%
Saudi Arabia Basket: +0.2%
Rising fastest Avocado +3.1%
Falling fastest Eggs -4.2%

The biggest single price increase was cucumber in the United Kingdom, up 7.2%. The sharpest fall was eggs in Saudi Arabia, down 4.2%. No market’s basket as a whole moved more than 0.2%.

The chip is how that market’s whole basket moved since last month. The two items under it are the sharpest single moves, which is why a basket can sit almost still while individual ingredients do not: the risers and the fallers cancel each other out. All three figures are the change in what restaurants actually paid.

The last thirteen months, by market

Each block is one month. The colour is how that market’s total basket price changed compared to the month before: blue got cheaper, green held, yellow and orange got more expensive.

United Kingdom
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Australia
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
United Arab Emirates
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Saudi Arabia
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Cheaper under -0.25%Flat -0.25% to 0.25%More expensive 0.25% to 1.0%Sharply up over 1.0%↑ warming   ↓ cooling   → steady

What’s in the basket

Twenty-two ingredients, the same list in every market:

Avocado · Bananas · Beef · Butter · Cheese · Chicken · Coffee · Cooking oil · Cucumber · Eggs · Flour · Lamb · Lemons · Lettuce · Milk · Olive oil · Onions · Potatoes · Prawns · Rice · Sugar · Tomatoes

Updated on the first of every month. New prices land, each market’s forecast recomputes, and this page redraws itself. There is no report to wait for. The weather is always current. What these moves do to a margin once they reach the invoice is the subject of The Spread.

Based on the prices restaurants actually paid their suppliers, per kilo or per litre, taken from goods received rather than from published price lists. Each market reading is a Jevons index, the geometric average of the price change on every basket item that was bought in both months. Prices paid move for reasons other than the market, including grade, pack size and delivery-to-delivery variation. Markets are added as they build up enough history. Figures describe activity on the Supy platform and may not represent the wider market. This is not an official measure of food inflation.